Betting: How to Make Smart Decisions When You Have Insufficient Information

This book is really good! The decision-making methods mentioned in it remind me of a friend of mine who is always troubled when faced with choices, and the betting thinking in this book can help her. Moreover, the book also introduces some practical thinking tools, such as peer-based truth-seeking groups and psychological time travel, which are very interesting. I particularly like the author Anne Duke. She is both a PhD in cognitive psychology and a legendary professional poker player. She is so amazing! I think this book is not only suitable for professionals, but also for everyone who needs to make decisions.

Awesome [like], it breaks my traditional concept of victory and failure. Regardless of whether the result is a loss or a win, it does not mean that the person's strategy is correct or wrong, because there are many uncertain factors in this bet that are also luck [facepalm]. I will never say the words right and wrong easily again. In a game of gambling, you have to learn lessons from both strategy and luck. Although there is a lot of nonsense, you really benefit a lot [sending my heart] [sending my heart] Read it together with "Game Theory", it's really great [Sending my heart][Sending my heart]

The reason is probably mind mapping. Scientific thinking is more conducive to making choices. The problem is that life is not poker or chess. If I can't surpass life, I don't have such a high vision. Let's take a look at this kind of imported stuff. If you want to understand it, you have to read a lot. I always recommend some things that I haven't read. I just have something to do. I don't like preachy education, even if it makes sense, because most people have a hard time doing it. But on the other hand, the small part guides the large part, isn't that what it is? Pass

Worth reading again and again. Learn the attitude Self-serving bias Good decisions may not necessarily lead to good results, but bad decisions will not necessarily lead to good results. Gambling the market is more effective than normal strategies

1/3, But it is basically enough to give an evaluation. CITIC Group has indeed introduced many high-quality works. This one is also one of them. I see some readers are confused. It stands to reason that it is okay to give conclusions directly, but this is not conducive to real personal growth. But under certain circumstances, such as if you are really confused and get nothing, then a condensed and profound summary will be slowly released like a pill. As far as I know, this book. First, let's put forward the fact that for each of us, uncertainty in the world exists objectively. Secondly, give a point of view tactfully: it is necessary to face it calmly, face the truth directly, and accept uncertainty. Then, go on to clarify how to make choices under uncertainty. In a sense, this book is actually all about talking about big principles and nonsense. But the more realistic problem is to refine the principles and implement the empty words that everyone understands appropriately. This book may be of some help in this regard.

The main purpose is to change the reward feedback mechanism and distinguish between luck and strength. If you have relevant experience, some chapters of the book will be slow and repetitive (give examples and then refine the central idea). If it is your first time to come into contact with this kind of book, it is a good book.

Life is like a card, start betting!

Good. Answered my doubts

You don't have to make the best decision, you have to be bold and try your luck.

This book helped me, thank you to the author

I haven't finished it yet, but seeing this is enough to attract me, and I have the urge to finish it.

A good book. Expand your thinking and broaden your horizons. Worth reading

The gambling thinking written is very practical and can make those vague views clearer and more objective.

It is worth recommending, changing people's new understanding of the right and wrong of certain things, and gaining an understanding of probability?