Logical Thinking

Everyone will face countless choices at any time in their daily life: apply for a school with a good overall ranking, or a school that is better for your professional development but does not have outstanding overall strength? As a recruiter, should you choose a candidate with an impressive resume and letters of recommendation, or an applicant with insufficient experience and qualifications but outstanding performance in the interview? For a stock that has always been bullish, when it has experienced a few days of decline, should you take action to stop the loss in time, or should you endure the pain and continue to wait and see? Of course, not everyone is a born scientist and can use probability calculations or innate foresight to make perfect judgments, but making a relatively good choice is still possible. This requires us to consciously train our thinking and learn an effective way of thinking. Many scientific and philosophical ideas are so powerful that they are applied to our homes, work, schools, and every aspect of life, helping us think more wisely about our world and act more efficiently. But it's surprising how many of these great minds we don't know about. In this book, world-renowned psychologist Richard Nisbet introduces these ideas to us clearly and in detail, providing us with the tools to think smarter and make smarter decisions. He is world-famous for studying and teaching powerful, problem-solving ideas such as the law of large numbers, statistical regression, cost-benefit analysis, sunk and opportunity costs, causation and correlation, and he hopes this book will show us how to use these tools effectively in our daily lives.