Black Swan

After reading it several times, I feel more and more that this book is rational, realistic and thought-provoking. The analysis of the same thing with different attributes and directions is very attractive. Sometimes I even feel "chills down my spine", but then I will be "thawed" by a certain point of view... I can't help but think of a sentence, worldly events cannot be explained, facts cannot be recorded.

"Black swan" is a famous proposition in philosophical methodology research. It describes the difficulty in proving the correctness of a proposition through verification methods because the empirical phenomena themselves are difficult to be fully summarized. In this book, Taleb creatively transforms this proposition and emphasizes the importance of small-probability events, that is, something we often ignore may have an important impact on life. Under the guidance of this idea, many people began to pay attention to probability, learn to adapt to uncertainty, and change their life philosophy and lifestyle.

We often ignore the impact of small probability events because of the limitations of the Gaussian curve, and these small probabilities often have huge impacts. History and the future have never gone according to our plans, because no one could have anticipated the scale of World War I and World War II. We don't know what will happen tomorrow. Black swan events drive the future and history, and our judgments often require more information than subjective judgments. Finally, I hope that all of us can control our own future.

Through the description of "black swan" events, the author reveals that we habitually ignore random events in life, especially random events that are inconsistent with the development of our usual experience, which will lead to very absurd results. The greatest significance of "Black Swan" is that it makes us understand: things we don't know are more meaningful than things we know! We should be clearly aware that no matter how science and technology progress, we are still "ignorant" in front of many things and have no ability to predict, so we need to adapt to their existence, try and seize as many opportunities as possible, so that we can better respond to events.

In the face of "black swan" events, all empiricism seems to be useless, and experts seem to be "just superficial"? This is not the case, of course, the premise is that we learn how to study correctly. In fact, we cannot just learn the facts and ignore the laws behind the facts. Contempt for abstract things is our most common mistake. This is not what we should do. In this book, the author introduces his ideas through a large chapter. He must not only subvert traditional wisdom, but also clearly understand the complex and cyclical modern environment, and carry out unconventional introspection and hard thinking. Only then can it be possible to break free from the shackles and prisons of thought.

I liked this book so much that I read it over and over again and even bought the physical version in the end. The reason may be because I was moved by the author's vivid and ordinary language. The author's language is smooth and comfortable to read, and the sincere language can always touch me when I am at a low point. Reading this book is like a deep baptism for the soul, making you feel the peace and happiness from deep inside. Recommended reading,

See the world from a new perspective

My horizons have been broadened and it's very useful.

Clear, vivid and easy to read!

First of all, we need to understand the author's writing style. Due to the unreliability of theoretical knowledge, the author uses a large number of personal experiences to describe and summarize the main theme.

At present, they are all about telling facts and presenting evidence. And not like. Chapter 8 of the book (Think and Grow Rich). Changing facts to state his point of view. This book is not bad.

A great book to improve your cognition. It would be perfect if the translation was better. It can greatly improve your own understanding and connect previously unsystematic views. However, sometimes I feel that the author is a bit extreme and his views are open to question.

Good, good, good, good

I think you'll understand why I rate it so after reading it

∧It doesn't matter whether it is good-looking or not, the most important thing is that it must be useful for survival, to be considered a good book.

Many concepts are deep and I can't fully understand them. I will forget them after reading them, but they are worth a look.

The author advocates unconventional introspection from another minority's thinking to improve the difference between one's own methods and results of solving problems before and after the fact, and gives an incisive account of the black swan event.

The views are novel and the logic is clear. I have benefited a lot.

New concepts and new ideas, accepting integrated output